2024-12-13 05:49:08
Goldman Sachs: It is expected that the output of OPEC+will still depend on the data, and it is assumed that the output of OPEC+will increase for four consecutive months from next July under the strong demand in summer. It is estimated that India's oil demand will increase by 300,000 barrels per day next year, accounting for nearly 30% of the global oil demand growth.The researcher of Everbright Bank commented on China's import and export data in November: the export growth rate is stronger than seasonality, and foreign trade exports are expected to grow steadily in the next few months. Zhou Maohua, a macro researcher in the financial market department of Everbright Bank, told Wall Street that the export growth rate in November was stronger than seasonality, the import decline exceeded expectations (weaker than seasonality), the trade surplus expanded, and foreign trade contributed more to the economy in the fourth quarter. Due to the resilience of overseas demand, overseas foreign trade importers rushed to avoid tariffs and hoarded goods in advance, and the effects of policies such as stabilizing foreign trade appeared, driving export growth to exceed expectations; The decline in imports in November exceeded expectations, mainly due to the weak recovery of domestic demand, the cautious decision of enterprises to expand and increase import inventory, and the low prices of international energy and other commodities that depressed the overall import cost.Australian Treasury Secretary chalmers: We will hold consultations with the Shadow Minister on the composition of the new Reserve Bank of Australia. Substantial progress has been made in fighting inflation.
Australia's S&P/ASX 200 index closed at 8399.40 points, down 0.28%.Afternoon comment: The Shanghai Composite Index rose more than 1% in half a day, and consumer concept stocks broke out collectively. The index was active in early trading. The Shanghai Composite Index rose more than 1% in half a day, and the Shanghai Composite Index rose more than 2%. In terms of sectors, robot concept stocks continued to break out, and the concept of PEEK materials led the rise. Both China Research Institute and Xinyi New Materials had a daily limit of 20cm, while Zhongxin Fluorescent Materials and Walter shares touched the daily limit; The large consumer sector collectively rose, with dairy stocks leading the gains, and Panda Dairy, Western Animal Husbandry and Li Ziyuan were trading daily; AI concept stocks fluctuated higher, and it is worth buying 20cm daily limit, Hanwang Technology, Xinhua Media and other daily limit; Insurance stocks strengthened, and Tianli Technology, Astar, Focus Technology and other daily limit. Overall, individual stocks showed a general upward trend, with more than 4,600 stocks rising. On the disk, all sectors in the two cities generally rose, with PEEK materials, film and television theaters and dairy sectors among the top gainers.Tang Hui, former member of the Standing Committee of Anshun Municipal Committee of Guizhou Province, was "double-opened", and the website of the State Supervision Committee of the Central Commission for Discipline Inspection was notified on December 10. According to the news of the Supervision Committee of Guizhou Provincial Commission for Discipline Inspection, with the approval of Guizhou Provincial Committee, the Supervision Committee of Guizhou Provincial Commission for Discipline Inspection filed a case review and investigation on Tang Hui, former member of the Standing Committee of Anshun Municipal Committee of Guizhou Province and former secretary of Xixiu District Committee.
Malaysia exported 1.49 million tons of palm oil in November, down 15%.Huang Wentao of China CITIC Construction Investment Co., Ltd. and others: It is estimated that deficit ratio will rise to over 4% in 2025, and it is expected that the stock and debt will continue. On December 9th, the Political Bureau of the Central Committee held a meeting to analyze and study the economic work in 2025. Huang Wentao, chief economist of CITIC Jiantou, and Liu Tianyu, macro analyst of CITIC Jiantou, believe that the policy tone of this Politburo meeting is quite proactive, which shows that the central government has made a full assessment and policy reserve for the pressures and risks that may be encountered in economic development next year, which has strongly echoed the expectations of economic entities. Huang Wentao and Liu Tianyu pointed out that GDP growth in the fourth quarter is expected to reach more than 5.2%, achieving the expected goal of annual economic growth of around 5%. On this basis, the annual growth target of about 5% will also be the basic premise of policy discussion in the next few years. Since the fourth quarter of this year, the fiscal policy has been continuously overweight. This time, the fiscal policy is set to be "more active", which indicates that the fiscal policy will expand again. It is estimated that deficit ratio will increase to over 4% in 2025. Both stocks and debts are expected to continue. Unconventional countercyclical adjustment policies not only provide sufficient impetus for the recovery of economic vitality, but also provide strong support for improving expectations and reviving confidence, and provide sufficient source of living water for the capital market. The stock market is expected to continue to strengthen and the risk-free rate of return is expected to continue to decline.Sources: Boeing restarted the production of 737 MAX last week. Sources said that about one month after the strike ended, Boeing restarted the production of 737 MAX aircraft last week.
Strategy guide
12-13
Strategy guide
Strategy guide
12-13